ForesightA calibrated forecasting board

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Will the downtown stadium proposal break ground this year?

85%

Resolved: It didn't happen

foresight — resolution score
final_prob  85%
outcome     0 (no)
brier       0.722
# lower is better — 0 is a perfect call

History

Every estimate you’ve logged, oldest first — how your mind changed.

  1. Initial estimate: 65%Apr 5, 2026, 2:36 AM

    No rationale logged.

  2. Updated to 85%May 20, 2026, 2:36 AM

    City council signaled a vote was imminent.